Well, 2013 Is Here. What In $#@!* Do We Do Now? - The Buffalo...
Before I get to what I think will happen in 2013, I want to vent about financial media for a moment. If you want to skip this, go to NOW FOR THE REAL POST below this commentary.This post may seem a little angry, but I think I am somewhat fed-up with the short-run financial news networks of late,
BLOG.ECONBROTHERS.COM: Correlation And Volatility:...
Beginning on August 7, we made the point that we had seen market topping patterns follow theVIX at what we described as the VIX’s “functional” floor the past 7 of 7 occurrences. TheICJ index may provide confirmation that a local (and perhaps a more significant) top is at hand.
Preparing For The Fiscal Cliff Debate | Condor Options
The approaching U.S. fiscal cliff has been on the radar of every strategist and portfolio manager since the compromise was reached in 2011. If policymakers are not able to amend the current mix of changes, mandated spending and benefit cuts and the expiration of several tax cuts will create a
Constriction In $spx Last Week. What’s Next? « Timeandcycles
And here is what I found, - This was the 3rd such instance since 2/26/2007 (5+ years) where entire week’s range was less than 1.2% of weekly open - In all 3 cases next week’s close was UP, and on an average it was up 1% or for next week $spx should close at or above 1418.nn $spx - For
Timeandcycles.com – Weekly Sentiment Polls – 07/23/12. «...
Calafia Beach Pundit: Why A Recession Is Not Likely, And The...
you got your facts wrong. 5 year inflation expectation is NOT at 2.6%. It's only 1.7%. Pretty much all you are saying is that as long as the Fed keeps rate at 0, we will never have recessions. You make economics sound like kindergarten stuff.The 5-yr, 5-yr forward inflation expectation I cite
Analysis For The S&P 500 | PivotBoss
The S&P 500 has experienced its largest retracement of the year thus far, as the index has dropped from 1,420 to 1,360 in a brief 5-day span. Will the smart money see this as a buying opportunity, or as a change in trend? Here are my thoughts..The weekly chart of the S&P 500 shows the current
Why Does This VIX Seem So Scary | Option Pit
As I look at the VIX trading 16% today, and the market still near 2008 highs, it got me to thinking. What is with all the gloom and doom? Was everyone acting like the market is about to take a dive? To start; lets take a look at to volatility charts; one is the IV of the VIX from
Is A Hedged Market A Bull Market? | Option Pit
First Business: We have a special offer on our CBOE and TheStreet.com sponsered class on the Trading the SPX as a Professional in New York. You can get more info on the SPX class here.Every talking head on the planet is talking about how ‘low’ the VIX is. The truth is,
The Highest-Earning Hedge Fund Managers Are Struggling To Beat...
Albert Friedberg is a little-known commodities trader who manages $2 billion in Toronto. Last year, during one of the worst 12-month stretches in the history of the hedge fund industry, Friedberg outperformed just about every big shot trader on the planet. His Friedberg Global-Macro Hedge Fund
Fund Manager Performance: 79% Don't Beat The S&P
(MONEY magazine) -- They may dress better than average, but they usually don't invest that way: Last year 79% of large-cap fund managers trailed the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index, says Morningstar -- the worst showing since 1997.Why? Annual expenses -- averaging 1.3% of assets for actively
Think The Market Is Cheap? Think Again…
Everyone is talking about how cheap Apple’s earnings multiple is. So I wanted to compare that hard-to-believe number to some of the cheapest valued companies based on their simple P/E ratio.I started by looking at the DOW stocks. I will eliminate JPM with the cheapest multiple of 8.5 because
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